Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.488708 0.557726 0.629673 0.709988 0.796861 0.887723 0.989671
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.411707 0.511263 0.620595 0.748454 0.892778 1.049599 1.231831
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.333950 0.451155 0.586537 0.751825 0.945583 1.163086 1.423258
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.291585 0.425018 0.586141 0.790109 1.036652 1.320582 1.667816
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.243485 0.384599 0.562971 0.797017 1.088350 1.431960 1.860747
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.204325 0.349761 0.541977 0.802804 1.136248 1.537924 2.048023
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.177189 0.327100 0.533482 0.821961 1.199294 1.661975 2.258097
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.156458 0.310407 0.530558 0.846611 1.268417 1.793603 2.478618
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.138527 0.295190 0.527620 0.869779 1.334942 1.922170 2.696537
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.116423 0.269926 0.507515 0.867184 1.366093 2.005314 2.858062
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.101624 0.254457 0.500069 0.880931 1.418261 2.115200 3.053798
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.085280 0.233494 0.482023 0.877686 1.446129 2.193033 3.208934
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.066946 0.205676 0.450944 0.853960 1.445427 2.234279 3.319414
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058015 0.194801 0.446367 0.869252 1.499257 2.348260 3.525215
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.046123 0.174895 0.424393 0.856173 1.511608 2.406237 3.658225
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.041852 0.171478 0.430823 0.887507 1.588412 2.552213 3.908345
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.034496 0.158688 0.418985 0.888691 1.620640 2.637384 4.078614
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028379 0.147318 0.408496 0.891109 1.654157 2.724260 4.251612
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.024595 0.141392 0.407772 0.909309 1.711264 2.844210 4.469787
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021843 0.137779 0.411161 0.934233 1.778647 2.978951 4.708762
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.019311 0.134105 0.414006 0.958082 1.844576 3.112193 4.946716
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.015287 0.123644 0.401638 0.954781 1.868288 3.185769 5.104006
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.012909 0.118270 0.399512 0.969112 1.919306 3.298396 5.315262